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Going by the poll conducted by Freddan Services, All Progressives Congress (APC) presidential candidate Asiwaju Bola Ahmed Tinubu is projected to win Staurday’s presidential election.

The result of the opinion survey conducted in all 36 states of the federation and in the Federal Capital Territory (FCT), rated the APC standard bearer ahead of other contenders.

Four key variables – political geography, religion, resources and class – were used by a team of data analysts during the eight-week survey.

Those filtered along Tinubu are: Atiku Abubakar of the Peoples Democratic Party (PDP); Peter Obi of the Labour Party (LP) and Rabiu Kwankwaso of the New Nigeria People’s Party (NNPP).

Out of the 287,033 that responded to the 370,000 questionnaire distributed, 106, 764 (37.2 per cent) of them projected Tinubu ahead of others.

He was trailed by Peter Obi’s 92,127 votes (32.1 per cent); Atiku, who polled 88,109 (30.7 per cent) and Kwankwaso, polling 693 (0.23 per cent).

The survey was conducted via a combination of online and phone surveys. The online surveys were administered through a secure web platform. The phone surveys were conducted by trained staff, who are proficient in the three major Nigerian languages of Igbo, Hausa and Yoruba.

In both cases, the surveys were geared towards accurate and unbiased results.

The organisation also focused on areas, such as the spread of the political parties, the incumbency factors in states, religion and the personality of the candidates.

It also identified (in the course of online poll), the role of social media influencers, religious leaders, professional bodies and the young population of voters and how it can impact on the victory of each of the leading candidates.

Acknowledge the reports of the various opinion polls that have put some other candidates, as the likely winner of the February 25 election, the rating group explained that data alone cannot speak for itself.

According to the organisation, the outcome of data can be subjected to manipulation and sectional polling.

“The result of every data must be put into context, including understanding the people, culture, pattern, geographical spread of the platform, and historical antecedents”, Freddan Services said in its report.

The group hinged its high rating of the one-time Lagos State governor on the strength of his Southwest base which has the second largest voting population; the support he enjoys from the geo-political zone, where even political influencers in the opposition camps route for his victory at the poll.

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